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Based on new data, I've changed my mind about the belief that "People don't change their minds based on new data."
Based on new data, I've changed my mind about the belief that "People don't change their minds based on new data."
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Based on new data, I've changed my mind about the belief that "People don't change their minds based on new data."
My previous belief was based on the great research on the "backfire effect," done by Brendan Nyhan in 2010. But in 2020, Brendan did new research, showing that he was wrong about people not changing their minds.
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1912440117He showed that presenting the right data the right way, does cause people to change their minds. This was the right data and way for me.
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mekka okereke :verified:replied to mekka okereke :verified: last edited by
He also showed that this moderate "corrective effect" eroded over time if less accurate information was repeated by media personalities that share or promote their group identity.
Eg you can change people's mind about police racism in the US. But if those people view themselves as Trump supporters, and Trump continues to repeat untrue statements about Black people, then over time, those people return to their previous, non-fact based beliefs.
Same with Biden supporters and police racism.
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mekka okereke :verified:replied to mekka okereke :verified: last edited by
He suggests that effecting durable truth is less about "show them facts vs appeal to their feelings," and more about "What lies are the champions of their group identity telling?"
The more I think about it, the more this tracks with my experience.
Me: "I don't know what a racial equity moment is. I was Black last year. I'm going to be Black next year."
Other Black dude: "Yep. By next year they will have forgotten George Floyd and be back to doing how they do. We have to get it in now."
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Tim Kelloggreplied to mekka okereke :verified: last edited by
@mekkaokereke certainly, but how do we use that to change minds?
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Douglas Kilpatrickreplied to Tim Kellogg last edited by
@kellogh @mekkaokereke As a direct fallout of the quotes: tell them the truth and then stop leaders of their group identity from telling lies. How to do THAT on the other hand.....
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Tim Kelloggreplied to Douglas Kilpatrick last edited by
@kilpatds @mekkaokereke i feel like the more we’ve tried to do that with Trump/Vance, the worse it’s gotten. At this point they’ve got a whole army to produce disinformation about things even they hadn’t thought of yet
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@kellogh @kilpatds @mekkaokereke which I think shows that steps taken are effective. They needs lots and lots of people to maintain their lies. Which is expensive.
If we can then harm their sources of funds (which is happening), then slowly their ability to steer conversation will dissolve.
Everything takes time and that sucks obviously.
