Thread!

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

The votes are coming in but really really slowly. Apparently this is the process of counting the outside ballots by hand. We just got over 96% #bcpoli #bcelxn2024

Aphrodite ☑️ :boost_ok:

@chris

Automatic judicial recount is done when the difference is less than 1/500. Anything under 300 will likely request a recount and probably get it even if they have to pay for it.

Andrew Eisenberg❗️

@chris it’s a shame Sonia Furstenau wasn’t elected. I’m still confused why she chose to run in an NDP stronghold. #bcpoli #bcelection

🦋 Ben West - 🐒🌻

@chris its gonna be weeks if not longer...

The Saanich Daily

@chris @hanspetermeyer If these results hold this still has to feel like a loss for the NDP. Does Eby stay? The Greens also have a pyric victory. The only leader that can claim a victory and will definitely remain is Rustad

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@Aphrodite that's like 4 ridings right now!

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@aeisenberg her original riding boundaries changed and she is actually
from the Victoria riding, her family lives there

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@monkeyflower maybe! 2017 déja vu!

Aphrodite ☑️ :boost_ok:

@chris

It’s intriguing how many of the ridings are waiting for two ballot boxes on top of the out of district votes.

update: 96.13%, NDP 46, Tories 45, Greens 2

Anthony Floyd

@chris @Aphrodite Most ridings seem to have about 25000 votes, so 1/500 = 50. There are none with 100000 votes, so it seems like just the <100 votes will get automatic recounts. The others will need to convince a judge.

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@TheSaanichDaily @hanspetermeyer i don't think so, I see it like 2017. I think even if it stays 46-45 the NDP will continue as normal and probably
make a confidence deal with Greens on the 2017 model.

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@Aphrodite yes. there is a new process that we are clearly not quite up on yet

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

Switching to my iPad. Here are the vote counts for all parties and other candidates. One thing I haven’t mentioned is Independent candidates. None were elected, which means the BC Liberal/United party is truly dead and gone forever, but some independents did pull thousands of votes in some ridings which had an impact on the two main parties. Over 60,000 votes, 2%, went to Independent or Unaffiliated Candidates.
#bcpoli #bcelxn2024

Ann Petersen-Kane

@chris Impact good or impact bad.

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@anniegirl1138 ‍️

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

I am going to end the thread here!
My prediction is that the results in terms of seats will not change. The #bcNDP will prevail with a minority 46 seats. But I just went through all the ridings and there are many that are close and ballots outstanding. We might not know the final result of this election until the end of the month! Very much like the 2017 election that brought the NDP to power. BC Politics is never boring!!

Thanks for following along!

- Event Night ReportingCandidate Report View

(electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net)

#bcpoli #bcelxn2024

[email protected] :mstdnca:

@chris Thanks Chris!

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@hanspetermeyer np

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

PS Ok, one more, lol.
I just went back through the list. The only very close riding that has more than only “out of district” ballots processing is Surrey City Centre.
All the Surrey ridings were expected to be battlegrounds and they were. But this one is incredibly close, it is probably where the majority of outstanding ballots are left.
Just 41 votes separate CPC and NDP. NDP leads. This is mandatory recount territory.
#bcNDP #bcpoli #bcelxn2024