I dk how else to say this but so many people do not seem to understand that #Hezbollah is not #Hamas.
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I dk how else to say this but so many people do not seem to understand that #Hezbollah is not #Hamas. Israel has not been able to destroy Hamas in nearly a year, and that’s in Gaza. Hezbollah is on a different scale, and does not have the restrictions of #Gaza.
Netanyahu cannot ‘win’. It’s insane to believe he can.
Even if you don’t give af about us and only care about Israelis, pls understand that if no one stops #Netanyahu this will be a catastrophe. #Lebanon
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LukefromDCreplied to Elia Ayoub (he/him) last edited by
@ayoub I agree: remember the outcome of the 2006 war, a thumping victory for Hezbollah as IOF troops had to withdraw from the same positions they held on the first day of the war on the last day of the war.
An all-out war will be a destructive mess in Lebanon, but I am confident Hezbollah can win this. More speculative would be the outcome of going over to the offense and attempting to liberate all of Palestine by force, or even just throw down Netanyahu's regime. An expensive defeat of an all-out IOF offensive in Lebanon followed by an IOF collapse in Gaza caused by draining their resources might cause Netanyahu's regime to collapse on its own though.
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Laxystem (Masto/Glitch)replied to Elia Ayoub (he/him) last edited by
@ayoub I'd argue Israel certainly can destroy Hamas, even considering Hamas is an idea; Netanjahu simply doesn't want to.
An attack of this sort, that delayed Hezbollah by two months, would've removed Hamas to a point it could not fight a government not directly opposed by the population. Execute such an attack, put a leftist, Gazan governor in power, and slowly and steadily give them more and more autonomy. Basically, psychologically manipulating Gazans into seeing how life under a leftist leader is better, by actually making their life better (what a radical idea! Making people's lives better. Unheard of in politics). This is, of course, an example. But this is the sort of thing that'd work.
Two problems:
* Avoid corruption.
* That means a State of Palestine and the Israeli government won't do that.Can Israel do this to Hezbollah? Well, they tried*, it was called South Lebanon Army, and it failed miserably, with some genocide involved. Hezbollah really is on another scale of power.
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Laxystem (Masto/Glitch)replied to Laxystem (Masto/Glitch) last edited by [email protected]
@ayoub *tried to replace a Muslim extremist with a Christian one. Didn't work for the simple reason that the christian extremist, for some reason, cared about their agenda more than about their population. For some reason. Completely unexpected, y'know. /s
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Laxystem (Masto/Glitch)replied to LukefromDC last edited by
@LukefromDC @ayoub Nasrallah may actually want Israeli leftists in power (that is, to get rid of Netanjahu); he recognizes Israel is a better ally than Iran. But if Iran replaces him, that'll never happen.
Nasrallah will need to pull a massive PR move + restrain his own forces to not go full Oct. 7th, and if he does, he might actually manage to do this, and as a result, will turn himself into a protectorate of the government he just put in power, which is actually Lebanon's best case scenario as far as I can see.
I seriously hope this is what Nasrallah is aiming for; After all, he says his only beef with Israel is Palestine and revenge, and Nasrallah never lies.
Also, Netanjahu's government is collapsing as we speak; people are laughing about declaring the Galilee declaring independence from Israel, and humour becomes truth.
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Laxystem (Masto/Glitch)replied to Laxystem (Masto/Glitch) last edited by
@LukefromDC @ayoub (of course the transition from Nasrallah puppets to actual leftists won't be, eh, bloodless, but, truly, if we reach that point, the US is gonna intervene anyway)