Dave Karpf on what we're learning about polls in this election cycle:
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Dave Karpf on what we're learning about polls in this election cycle:
"It seems to me that 2024 is shaping up to be the year when polling aggregators lose their luster."
What really needs to be underscored is that polls on their own don't gain the legs they have in the public square. They gain force and attention because the media choose to amplify them. The problem is not merely polling: it's the media and how they use polls.
Thirteen days to go: Gut-checks and campaign dynamics
Three thoughts on the state of the race
(davekarpf.substack.com)
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Trojan Duckreplied to William Lindsey :toad: last edited by
@wdlindsy I personally believe that corporate and editorial are now one in the same, and that newspapers are commissioning polls with explicit instructions to show a close race in order to drive web traffic. A clear front-runner means fewer clicks, to put it simply.
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William Lindsey :toad:replied to Trojan Duck last edited by
@todwest Well-stated. I think that's right, and it describes the problem we face very well.
