One of the things to be aware of at this point in the race is right wing polling firms' efforts to manipulate the polling averages. This from strategist Simon Rosenberg (https://www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/harriss-economic-speech-and-ruhle):
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Mastodon Migrationwrote last edited by [email protected]
One of the things to be aware of at this point in the race is right wing polling firms efforts to manipulate the polling averages. This from strategist Simon Rosenberg (https://www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/harriss-economic-speech-and-ruhle
"A general reminder that there remains an awful lot of right-aligned polling in the polling averages, and folks should continue to be skeptical, given what happened in 2022, of any right-leaning poll or pollster. It’s why I am not a big fan of polling averages.
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Mastodon Migrationreplied to Mastodon Migration last edited by
"They were gamed by a flood of right-wing polls in 2022, and there remains a lot of those pollsters in the averages today. A good example of this is RMG, a firm run by Scott Rasmussen, founder of one of the most corrupt polling firms in the country, Rasmussen (which has been banned from 538)...
MT - Tester down 7 (a ridiculous finding)
OH - Moreno up 2...
PA - Harris and Trump tied..."
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Mastodon Migrationreplied to Mastodon Migration last edited by
"No state has seen more “red wave pollsters” in recent weeks than North Carolina. The majority of the recent, public, independent polls taken there show Harris tied or ahead. There have now been 7 - yes 7 - right wing aligned polls that have polled there in recent weeks and of course ALL OF THEM show Trump ahead. The polling average in North Carolina would favor Harris if we removed the flood of these right wing, narrative shaping polls."
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Mastodon Migrationreplied to Mastodon Migration last edited by
"The game here obviously is to not let it appear that Mark Robinson’s meltdown is causing NC to slip away.
It appears that their goal right now is to create two basic narratives about the election - MT and OH are slipping away from Dems and NC and PA are in play and Trump still has a shot at 270 (for if those states go he has no path). After NC, PA has seen the second most number of these red wave polls in recent weeks."
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Mastodon Migrationreplied to Mastodon Migration last edited by
"Let’s review this final Real Clear Politics Senate map in 2022. Based on “averages” that had been flooded with right-wing polls they ended at Rs getting to 54 seats in the Senate. They got to 49. Again - the “averages” said 54. They got to 49.
Fuckery, cheating, corrupting, info warring is what they are all about. [and we are] not going to let them redwave 2024 as they did 2022."
5/fin
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Casual Observer :donor:replied to Mastodon Migration last edited by
@mastodonmigration @KamalaHarrisWin Do you think recent reports of NC removing 700k+ folks from their voter rolls will significantly dent Harris/Walz momentum in NC? I would guess so, but what do I know.
I sure hope the Dems are getting NC voters to check their registrations as part of their on-the-ground mobilization in the state.
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Mastodon Migrationreplied to Casual Observer :donor: last edited by
No way to know, of course, but the Harris team is really good and their ground game is going to be very strong. Right now the focus is on making people aware of what is going on and to check their voter registrations. Another push will be to VOTE EARLY so any issues can be fixed prior to election day. Early voting in North Carolina begins 3 weeks before election day AND people can register to vote if they show up in person for early voting.
North Carolina: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links - Vote.org
North Carolina: Register to vote, check your registration, vote by mail, view voter ID laws, find all the dates, deadlines, and forms you need.
(www.vote.org)