Time for a Debate!! #bcpoli #BCElxn2024 #bcelection

[chris@mstdn.chrisalemany.ca]

@LauraleeDukeshire @AlisonCreekside YAY

[chris@mstdn.chrisalemany.ca]

As an Epilogue to this thread, here is a page with all of the polls for the 3 parties over the election.

https://338canada.com/bc/polls.htm

The last poll listed was on October 6th from Léger and had the NDP 5 points ahead of the Conservatives.

We should get new poll numbers done after the debate by Monday.

Real polling, as in, Advance Voting starts in earnest tomorrow. Advance voting days are October 10, 11, 13, 15, and 16. Likely 8AM to 8PM in your local community or District Elections Office.

Election Day Oct 19 is only 10 days away!

elections.bc.ca is the place for all the info.

#bccp #bcpoli #bcgreens #BCElxn2024 #bcelection #bcndp

[the5thcolumnist@mstdn.ca]

@chris

Given that less than either leading part has in support has given party's majority governments it's really going to depend on how those votes are distributed.

[lalegault@newsie.social]

@chris @LauraleeDukeshire

I cannot emphasize enough how unreliable the polls have become and I was someone who knew how to parse them before but polling firms have become 3 lobbyists in a trenchcoat.

[chris@mstdn.chrisalemany.ca]

@the5thColumnist very much so. And these do not help at all to figure out the many interactions with independent candidates!

[chris@mstdn.chrisalemany.ca]

@LALegault @LauraleeDukeshire totally agree.

[lauraleedukeshire@mstdn.ca]

@LALegault @chris I am curious if the use of cell phones (particularly the way different demographics use them) has impacted pollsters abilities to conduct accurate polling. (Ie. Are the people who answer their cell phones a representative sample?) Do you have any thoughts on that?

[lalegault@newsie.social]

@LauraleeDukeshire @chris

That was an issue about 10 years ago. Mostly the issue is that polling is now being conducted amonst the party faithful and yes, people will not pick up unknown name phone calls anymore so it contributes to the issue. When you ask around to people if they have ever been polled, I am yet to hear someone say “yea.”

[lauraleedukeshire@mstdn.ca]

@LALegault @chris
I was so disappointed this summer when I missed two phone calls from EKOS polling. I'm a big geek who would love to answer a political poll.

[chris@mstdn.chrisalemany.ca]

@LauraleeDukeshire @LALegault I got a call from EKOS a few months ago I believe!