Thread!

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@TheSaanichDaily @hanspetermeyer i don't think so, I see it like 2017. I think even if it stays 46-45 the NDP will continue as normal and probably
make a confidence deal with Greens on the 2017 model.

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@Aphrodite yes. there is a new process that we are clearly not quite up on yet

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

Switching to my iPad. Here are the vote counts for all parties and other candidates. One thing I haven’t mentioned is Independent candidates. None were elected, which means the BC Liberal/United party is truly dead and gone forever, but some independents did pull thousands of votes in some ridings which had an impact on the two main parties. Over 60,000 votes, 2%, went to Independent or Unaffiliated Candidates.
#bcpoli #bcelxn2024

Ann Petersen-Kane

@chris Impact good or impact bad.

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@anniegirl1138 ‍️

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

I am going to end the thread here!
My prediction is that the results in terms of seats will not change. The #bcNDP will prevail with a minority 46 seats. But I just went through all the ridings and there are many that are close and ballots outstanding. We might not know the final result of this election until the end of the month! Very much like the 2017 election that brought the NDP to power. BC Politics is never boring!!

Thanks for following along!

- Event Night ReportingCandidate Report View

(electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net)

#bcpoli #bcelxn2024

[email protected] :mstdnca:

@chris Thanks Chris!

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@hanspetermeyer np

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

PS Ok, one more, lol.
I just went back through the list. The only very close riding that has more than only “out of district” ballots processing is Surrey City Centre.
All the Surrey ridings were expected to be battlegrounds and they were. But this one is incredibly close, it is probably where the majority of outstanding ballots are left.
Just 41 votes separate CPC and NDP. NDP leads. This is mandatory recount territory.
#bcNDP #bcpoli #bcelxn2024

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

PPS. Checked one last time.
99.7% of polls are in.
57.37% turnout.
#bcNDP: 46 ridings 908,175 votes 44.59%
#CPBC: 45 ridings 887,397 votes 43.57%
#bcgreens: 2 ridings 166,661 votes 8.18%

Just 1 seat and 1.02% of the vote separates the two. But unless there is a reversal in a recount, it looks like the NDP have just held onto power. They will need to come to an agreement with the Green Party in order to govern long term like they did in 2017.

Night all!

#bcpoli #bcelxn2024

martin_fff

@chris shows the power of lies on FB ...

Rainer 🇵🇸

@chris as fucked up as it is that the clown party won so many seats, and as much as I resent my fellow Fraser Valley voters for being...you know...so willing to vote for hateful climate deniers, a minority government where the environmentalists control all of the power seems like not the worst thing ever?

Idealistic Pragmatist :mstdn:

@chris Jesus. Well, this sure isn’t going to be boring! I’m glad BC was spared the worst outcome.

Idealistic Pragmatist :mstdn:

@chris one question: how much of that result is extreme polarisation from one riding to the next (ie most individual ridings were won decisively) and how much of it is ridings that were themselves very close and could have gone either way? Either way you’re in for some rough waters ahead but the type of issue will be different!

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@Rainer agreed

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@IPEdmonton I think it was about 10 ridings that were quite close of 93. There is definitely a big urban/rural split (except Vancouver Island perhaps) but the biggest factor was the federal conservative talking points I think. Complete rejection of reason by half the people who voted and half the electorate just didn’t vote at all. That part makes me think there is a lot of work to do to get people believing there is good to vote for

Idealistic Pragmatist :mstdn:

@chris thanks for the answer. Good luck with it all!

Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@IPEdmonton I think it is not unique to BC either. This is the general western zeitgeist. People are fed up, scared, and irrational. I am glad the most likely outcome is a minority coalition with the Greens. But this is really showing that there are deep problems that people are really upset about and all governments need to take it seriously.

Next up, New Brunswick tomorrow!!

Idealistic Pragmatist :mstdn:

@chris so far, Nova Scotia’s conservatives have remained cast firmly in the old Tory, “business first and ignore the poor” model, so that’s something. However, even here the anti-houseless and anti-immigrant mouthing-off I’ve heard sometimes (not from conservative politicians but from conservative individuals) has worried me.

Idealistic Pragmatist :mstdn:

@chris we should be heading into an election soon, which might teach us something. My guess: the rhetoric of the conservative leadership won’t change much, but if they end up accepting some unacceptable candidates into their ranks, that’s a sign for a much darker potential future.