This terrifies me for the future of any of this.
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This terrifies me for the future of any of this. https://mstdn.social/@soveryoleary/113489119309279501
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The first person who looks at this and then says "you're just thinking too much like a capitalist, actually…" is getting blocked. Be forewarned.
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@hrefna oh no
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@MxVerda lol, you're fine
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@hrefna I have a feeling all the people still on Twitter are going there because everyone they know is. I don't have an account there but I wonder if people perceive it as easier. I read they're going to start ads there next year so I think its trajectory will be the same as Twitter, which got really awful long before Elon bought it.
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For people with accounts on Instagram it's incredibly easy to start on Threads -- basically just a setting option. And yeah, the people you follow on Instagram are already there, so you're not starting from scratch. It is what it is, the algorithm is horrible and it's badly moderated but there are a lot of interesting people posting interesting stuff (including journalists, who are not easy to find here). It's certainly better than Xitter today but I wouldn't be surprised if a lot of people there wind up spending more time on Bluesky.
@hrefna what do you find terrifying about it, the mistaken focus on Threads federation? (The rest of the article was better) My argument in https://privacy.thenexus.today/flatness/ is
Bluesky's a better decentralized Twitter alternative than Mastodon; Threads is much easier for people who already have Instagram accounts to try out.... Of course, there's a lot more to social networking than Twitter alternatives. But Rochko's vision for Mastodon is a Twitter alternative, and that's how it's usually described in the press. Mastodon relied on surges from Twitter for its growth.
So to me it seems like Threads' federation is pretty irrelevant here other than it's something some people here thought would be a big win but hasn't been.
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Simply: that is not the active users graph of a healthy service. Especially given all of the factors that should have brought people here.
That is the monthly user graph of a dying service, and dying services are very, very easy to EEE for a large company. Even without the company meaning to, even if we assume the best of intentions (which I'm not inclined to do), it becomes trivial to EEE.
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I've maintained for a while now that I am not afraid of Threads federating, I'm afraid of Meta releasing a _client_ or a _server_ platform.
We are in such a vulnerable position against that and with an active user count that is flat-to-negative growth it makes everything particularly vulnerable.
Especially given all of the people who aren't here.
