Will 2025 be the year that venture capital discovers the Fediverse?

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Last couple of months has been dramatic and there is a huge demand for ethical and safe social media. Even mainstream conservatives start to look for alternatives when US oligarchs wage hybrid warfare against their nation.

And there are so many low hanging fruits right now. Like Facebook event and marketplace replacements on the fediverse. Or just a Facebook alternative that isn't Frendica. Or maybe a commercial fork of Frendica.

I'm not involved in any development of fediverse software, so I'm asking here. Do you experience more interest from venture capital?

Also, I assume EU will pour big money into social media alternatives, starting 2025.

Note: I'm not interested in a discussion regarding if VC is good or bad for the fediverse. That's a good topic for another post though.

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How would you make money if you can't control the platform? Investing in the fediverse is a terrible investment case.

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There is a non-negligible amount of companies making money out of services based on email, even though they don't own email as a standard.

Also, remember when VCs were giving money to every "Uber for X" pitch deck some years ago? If ActivityPub ever manages to cement itself as ubiquitous standard, you can bet that we'll see investors going anyone saying "LinkedIn, but on ActivityPub", "Tinder, but on ActivityPub", "Etsy, but on ActivityPub", "Patreon, but on ActivityPub", "Yelp, but on ActivityPub", "Github, but on ActivityPub"...