@[email protected] @[email protected] @[email protected] @[email protected] agreeing on extensions to the standard is quite hard and large players in the space (mastodon) will have a louder and heavier voice, that's inevitable. It is however how most socially distributed things work. Democracy is hard and requires an understanding and readiness to embrace delayed gratification.

That being said, short term things will keep on being flashy and cool with newer things and an ability to quickly roll out new stuff thanks to centralization making it easier. But those aren't a long term threat in of themselves, if anything they're healthy competition (as is bluesky). Unless actual political forces make it impossible or too impractical to run activitypub instances, the network now seems to have a good enough user base to make it worth while for people to invest their energy in developing it. So services that stay siloed and/or choose to not allow interop with it long term seem unlikely.

I'm in a positive mood for some reason today though, I might have a gloomier look on it in a few days.

@[email protected] @[email protected] @[email protected] @[email protected] I think that the people choosing bluesky have a good reason. There's much less friction and it tries to lull you into the notion that "old twitter" had a viable mode of existence. I highly doubt most of the people going there care about or even think much about it being theoretically distributable.

My (probably naïve) take is that it either manages to deliver on real practical distributability (and along the way that would mean real ability to interop with activitypub even if only third party intermediary systems) or it doesn't and investor interests overpower any idealism in the people making it. In case capital wins we basically get a redo of what's currently happening with twitter. It will be a very long process, but that makes sense cause it's not a technical, but a social one and those are very rarely fast.